Each round is pari-mutuel: your upside comes from other players’ entries. Two things decide your payout: (1) win or lose on the median rule, (2) among winners, your accuracy weight vs the outcome. A per-round profit cap can apply in extreme rounds so the pool does not collapse onto one forecast—Capped proportional payout explains why and how.Documentation Index
Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.trepa.io/llms.txt
Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.
What you might get (scenarios)
Entry fee is $1 below.You lose the round
You lose the round
$0 back; your entry funds the prize pool and platform take (see the diagram below).
You win, but many others won and you barely beat the median
You win, but many others won and you barely beat the median
$1 entry back, plus the smallest slice of the prize pool—often cents. See the 10-player table (weakest row ~$1.06 total).
You win and you are clearly closest among winners
You win and you are clearly closest among winners
$1 back plus the largest pool share—can be several dollars when the pool is fat. Same 10-player table, best row ~$3.51 total.
Illustrative round (round numbers)
Say 10 people each pay $1 ($10 in). Five lose and five win.- Losers forfeit $5 total.
- 20% platform take on those losing stakes = $1 (half to Trepa, half to the player accumulator in the diagram below).
- The remaining $4 is the prize pool for winners’ profits (by accuracy weight); each winner also gets their $1 entry back in settlement.
Worked example: how the $4 pool splits among five winners
Assume median error m = $500 (toy number; live rounds use the field median). Winner errors $480, $400, $250, $100, $20. Same rule as Accuracy weight: , , profit share of $4 is proportional to .| Winner (error) | Weight | Profit from pool | Total you receive | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $480 (weakest winner) | 0.96 | 0.0176 | $0.06 | $1.06 |
| $400 | 0.80 | 0.0294 | $0.09 | $1.09 |
| $250 | 0.50 | 0.0878 | $0.28 | $1.28 |
| $100 | 0.20 | 0.3349 | $1.06 | $2.06 |
| $20 (closest) | 0.04 | 0.7903 | $2.51 | $3.51 |
The flow of money
At a glance
- You: one entry per round—lose the fee, or get it back plus a pool share by how tight you were vs other winners; streaks are separate.
- All money: about 90¢ pays out that same round (prizes + winners’ fees back); about 5¢ flows to the accumulator (still for players—streak payouts); about 5¢ to the Trepa treasury. Altogether about 95¢ eventually comes back to players in some form.