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Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.trepa.io/llms.txt

Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

Crowd Signal is one number that summarizes where the whole pool is leaning in the current round. For now it is a CAR-weighted average of every participant’s estimate: each person’s monthly CAR (Consistency-Adjusted Rating) is their weight, so more consistent forecasters pull the aggregate toward their price more than low-CAR players. The app calculates and shows Crowd Signal during the resolution window (after the forecasting window closes, while the outcome is still forming). It is there to read the crowd’s consensus against the live chart, not to change mechanics.
Bitcoin Flash Pool 1 min chart: orange BTC price line, green Target and Winning Range band, blue Crowd dashed line with labels, RESOLVING status and countdown.

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Definition (for now)

Let xix_i be player ii‘s estimate for the round and wiw_i their monthly CAR used as a non-negative weight. Then: Crowd Signal=∑iwi xi∑iwi.\text{Crowd Signal} = \frac{\sum_i w_i\, x_i}{\sum_i w_i}. If the app uses a fallback when monthly CAR is missing or a player is new, that behavior is defined in the product; check the app for what is live.
Crowd Signal is informational only. Tuning of weights, windows, and fallbacks may change over time.
Last modified on April 28, 2026